CGAP recently undertook a scenario-building exercise to help anticipate and prepare for the global demographic, political and technological forces that will shape the future of microfinance. This Focus Note examines these forces and applies them to four scenarios. It ends with broad recommendations for how the international community can prepare for and respond to these scenarios. CGAP Focus Note, No. 39, 2006
http://www.cgap.org/portal/site/CGAP/menuitem.da0167f15fefd30167808010591010a0/